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Thursday, April 15, 2010

IPL 2010 - Teams with Semi-Final Chances.

IPL 2010

What the teams need to do to qualify for Semi-Finals

Mumbai: Already Qualified.

Deccan: Deccan's poor NRR means they'll need to win their last two to feel comfortable about qualification.

Kolkata: Like Deccan, they'll want the semi-final slots to be decided on points, not NRR, since they're languishing at -0.632. Kolkata's best chance is for Delhi to win their last two and for Chennai and Deccan to lose theirs. Then, if Kolkata win both their games, they'll be through on points with Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore.

Bangalore: The win against Rajasthan gave their net run rate a boost which means they're almost guaranteed for a Semi-final Spot.

Chennai: A win in one of their next two matches will almost certainly see Chennai through to the semis, since their net run rate is so high.

Delhi: Delhi's net run rate isn't as good as Bangalore's or Chennai's, which is why they'll need to win both their matches (or win at least one very convincingly) to assure themselves of qualification.

Rajasthan: Even a win in their final match, against Kolkata, won't assure them of qualification, as there could be a scenario with five teams - Rajasthan, Chennai, Bangalore, Deccan and Delhi - being tied on 14, fighting for three places. Their best case will be if they beat Kolkata, and the following happens: Delhi win their last two matches, while Chennai and Deccan lose theirs. Then Mumbai, Delhi, Bangalore and Rajasthan will go through without NRR coming into play.

Even if Rajasthan lose their last match they could be fighting for the last place if Delhi win their last two, while Deccan and Chennai lose theirs, and if Kolkata lose to Mumbai. Then, Deccan, Chennai, Kolkata, Rajasthan and Punjab will all have 12 points, and NRR will decide the final slot.

Kings XI Punjab: Their only chance, a very remote one, is to fight for the last slot on NRR. Refer second paragraph for Rajasthan Royals.